Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.263006 0.303779 0.348582 0.401441 0.462077 0.529437 0.609929
2024-10-06 0.210849 0.266766 0.333750 0.419797 0.527311 0.657131 0.825736
2024-10-13 0.164941 0.226911 0.307256 0.418810 0.569452 0.765595 1.040209
2024-10-20 0.135265 0.201090 0.292903 0.429833 0.628389 0.905338 1.320516
2024-10-27 0.107283 0.171525 0.267467 0.420429 0.657401 1.009669 1.572139
2024-11-03 0.091849 0.157052 0.260755 0.436543 0.725869 1.181682 1.952456
2024-11-10 0.079852 0.145379 0.255888 0.454194 0.799402 1.373199 2.396123
2024-11-17 0.067404 0.130241 0.242263 0.454392 0.843675 1.524117 2.798683
2024-11-24 0.057109 0.116741 0.228768 0.451931 0.882268 1.670752 3.217584
2024-12-01 0.049009 0.105672 0.217523 0.451240 0.923428 1.827672 3.680054
2024-12-08 0.042687 0.096819 0.208804 0.453613 0.970424 2.002100 4.203155
2024-12-15 0.038206 0.090904 0.204859 0.464804 1.036705 2.223706 4.854303
2024-12-22 0.033335 0.083238 0.196061 0.464660 1.080557 2.409623 5.468973
2024-12-29 0.030060 0.078600 0.193100 0.477001 1.154050 2.669947 6.286817
2025-01-05 0.026051 0.071304 0.182637 0.470012 1.182417 2.836443 6.924573
2025-01-12 0.023470 0.067097 0.178796 0.478311 1.248507 3.099002 7.827236
2025-01-19 0.020212 0.060353 0.167310 0.465222 1.259743 3.234760 8.450302
2025-01-26 0.018671 0.058057 0.166956 0.481150 1.347824 3.570920 9.622670
2025-02-02 0.017371 0.056172 0.167362 0.499254 1.444958 3.945115 10.952531
2025-02-09 0.015549 0.052301 0.161465 0.498592 1.490910 4.194536 11.995782
2025-02-16 0.013877 0.048514 0.155077 0.495307 1.528986 4.429175 13.037694
2025-02-23 0.012475 0.045285 0.149732 0.494152 1.573174 4.687738 14.188677
2025-03-02 0.011330 0.042658 0.145742 0.496474 1.628354 4.986229 15.502796